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SEAAOC 2007 Event Photographs
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SEAAOC 2007
broke all record for
attendance, making it North Australia and South East Asia's largest
and most diverse meeting of offshore oil and gas professionals.
The 2007 speaker line up was
the best yet with chief ministers and government officials sitting
alongside senior oil and gas executives from all over the region
making for a lively and thoroughly entertaining programme.
SEAAOC 2007
was timed to coincide with
the APEC Energy Ministers Meeting and the APEC Energy Business
Forum, which provided even greater networking opportunities and even
more expertise at this year's event.
Programme Highlights included:
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The Hon. Clare
Martin MLA
Chief Minister
Northern Territory Government

Keynote Government Address - Australia
Australia's Energy - A Regional Asset
Clare opened SEAAOC 2007 by highlighting the issue higher prices which have
been around for the past few years and the damaging affect it has had on
business in the region and whilst this brings potentially greater profits
from higher prices this has been eroded by substantial rises in
exploration and development costs.
She suggested that "the hike in costs is in large part due to the rush to
find and develop petroleum resources, combined with a similar trend across a
range of mineral commodities the so called commodity 'super cycle' " This
has created a very challenging economic environment when combined with
'energy nationalism' and instability and climate change.
Clare went on to mention how climate change in particular is no longer
merely a government issue as "the business community is also coming out in
support of emissions trading as a way of reducing CO2 emissions and its
effect on climate change. It's a global problem requiring global solutions
and, of course, it's a major issue for petroleum and other energy related
companies."
The Chief Minister encouragingly explained how the future of he gas industry
is looking bright when considering the oil is getting harder to find and
discoveries are becoming fewer
"Australia's NORTH WEST ENERGY ARC, home to petroleum basins from the North
West Shelf to the Timor Sea, has featured on the world stage as a location
for giant gas discoveries in recent years. And there's considerable
potential for further gas discoveries, with key industry players planning
vigorous exploration programs in the near future."
Clare enthused on how LNG development in the NT region has become key for
customers as they seek out supply of LNG from reliable stable suppliers and
went on to outline some of the major of the activity currently happening in
the region, these include:
- ConocoPhillips and Santos joint offshore ventures are aggressively
exploring their Caldita, Barossa and Evans Shoal acreage to prove up
sufficient reserves for their next LNG train.
- Bayu-Undan's third year of full production and the Sunrise project has
taken a significant step
forward with the recent treaty ratifications by the Australian and Timor
Leste governments.
- Strong progression of the Blacktip Gas Project, which will fuel the
Territory's power generation. With much of the onshore work due to take
place next year, with the first gas planned for January 2009.
- Ashmore Cartier area developments:
- Puffin = AED Oil has significantly increased its estimated oil reserves
and has also identified adjacent exploration potential. The Puffin Field
Floating Production Storage and
Offtake vessel will be on site mid year and first production is expected
soon after.
- Montara = Coogee Resources progressing in the region with two satellite
discoveries in early 2006.
- Crux = Nexus Energy has been conducting appraisal drilling at the field. A
liquids stripping project is proposed, with first production in early 2010.
The Chief Minister concluded her address by discussing downstream
development and the importance of establishing gas based industry in the
Territory. She stated that when gas fields are developed for onshore LNG,
the proponent should seriously consider the potential for upsizing their
offshore development to provide a portion of gas to supply downstream gas
industries.
"The reality is that governments of other gas endowed nations place great
value on the establishment and expansion of these industries. We believe the
Australian Government must think and act more strategically in relation to
downstream gas industry, particularly in the context of regional
development."
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Belinda Robinson
Chief Executive
APPEA

APPEA's
Industry Strategy - The Petroleum Industry in the NT - Home to Australia's
second LNG hub.
Belinda's presence at the event was particularly welcome as APPEA's
contribution to the development in the region is key. She began by speaking
about the initial success of Darwin's LNG plant with 50 shipments of natural
gas to its overseas customers already since February 2006. Belinda outlined
how 10 new petroleum exploration areas in Commonwealth waters off the
Northern Territory and the Territory of Ashmore and Cartier Islands and the
positive affect that this will undoubtedly have on the region.
She also mentioned other key developments that are occurring in the region
including:
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The
Blacktip Gas Project to drive Darwin's gas fired electricity generation
by 2009.
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95% of
prospective onshore acreage taken up, or under application. 10% in 1998.
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$75M+
planned for onshore exploration during the next five years consisting of
ambitious drilling programs using innovative drilling techniques.
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NT now an ever growing share of Australia's LNG
production, up to 2.22mt in 2006
Belinda then
introduced ConocoPhillips' Year 10 Energy Challenge - A brand new initiative
designed to increase student awareness of the gas and oil industry. The
project, which APPEA is supporting, is being piloted in the NT this year.
She then presented the various multi-billion dollars investments that are
underway in the area including:
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According to ABARE, $9.2b in oil and gas projects under
construction or committed.
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A further $23b (at least) in projects at a less advanced
stage of development.
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In addition, $386m in coal seam methane projects under
construction or committed.
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A further $35m in projects at a less advanced stage of
development.
Her
presentation was wrapped up with discussion of the Industry Strategy Leaders
Report which is a government/industry partnership aimed at securing
Australia's oil and gas resources for the Australian people and guaranteeing
the longterm sustainability of an Australian oil and gas industry.
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James Slutz,
Deputy Assistant Secretary, Oil and Natural Gas,
U.S. Department of Energy

Global Natural Gas Markets, Everyone Wins; Economic Development, Energy
Security, and Climate
James was the
first of this year's international speakers and a most welcome addition to
an event dealing with issues of such global significance.
James started by outlining the importance of gas imports to the US,
particularly following production set backs in the Gulf region, with LNG
being the natural choice. With areas such as New England and California
desperately requiring additional supplies of gas and the construction of an
LNG facility.
Mr Slutz was quick to remark on the very public opposition to the proposal
of LNG plants in such areas with New York and California being the most
publicised of late. Other LNG sites have been rejected elsewhere in the US
for reasons other than public opposition including economic reasons and an
inability to acquire an LNG supply. So it is clear that whilst the necessity
to construct sites is of prime importance, site selection and other
management considerations appear to be holding the country back. He mentions
how this issue has been alleviated to some extent with the construction of
some offshore and non US sites (in bordering nations), yet this will not
satisfy the nations ever increasing demand for gas and as such more need to
be done.
James led the delegation through the DOE's LNG activities aimed at
alleviating public safety concerns, regulators security issues and Federal
economic considerations which include:
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DOE LNG Partnership with State Utility Regulators
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DOE Research on Natural Gas Quality and LNG
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Interchangeability
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DOE Sandia National Laboratory - LNG Safety and
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Security Research
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Federal/State LNG Forums
James finished with an overview of the NPC Study on Oil & Natural Gas
which is currently undertaking an in depth report for the US Secretary of
Energy. Due for release on July 18th 2007, this study should go some way in
producing a platform for the future development of LNG in the US.
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The Hon. Raphael P.
M. Lotilla
Secretary of the Department of Energy
The Republic of
the Philippines

Keynote Government Address - The Republic of the Philippines
Energy Cooperation and Private Sector Investment: Key to Meeting the Demand
and Challenges for the Asia Pacific Region
SEAAOC 2007 was delighted to have The Hon. Raphael P. M. Lotilla present at
this year's event. He was the first of our South East Asian representatives
and enabled delegates to gain a unique perspective on the ASEAN Regional
Community's Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation.
Secretary Raphael initially guided us through the vast reserves of ASEAN
resources and the significance of the region in a global perspective:
ASEAN Resources:
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22 billion barrels of oil
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227 trillion cubic feet of natural gas
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46billion tons of coal
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234 gigawatts of hydropower
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20 gigawatts of geothermal capacity
The Secretary also presented the ASEAN Vision 2020, an initiative to
establish interconnecting arrangements for electricity, natural gas and
water within the region through the ASEAN Power Grid (APG), Trans-ASEAN Gas
Pipeline (TAGP) and Water Pipeline. The plan also promotes energy efficiency
and conservation, as well as the development of new and renewable energy
resources
Mr Lotilla then explained the future benefits of the Cebu Declaration on
East Asian Energy Security, where 16 world leaders agreed on a concerted
regionwide effort to harness alternative sources of energy. The declaration
will ensure continuous energy supply for their growing economies, in the
face of dwindling oil reserves.
The importance of Natural Gas in Regional Energy Security was the final
issue to be tackled by Secretary Raphael. He told of how the Statistical
Review of World Energy 2006 stated that natural gas consumption grew by
about 2.3 percent in 2005, as opposed to oil consumption
which increased by only 1.3 percent. Therefore natural gas is becoming a
major contender to oil
in the energy demand mix. To this end the Philippines' USD 4.5 billion
Malampaya Deep Water Gasto- Power Project has been developed to produce an
additional 2,700 MW of power for the island of Luzon resulting in the
retirement of some of our oil-based power plants expanding natural gas use
to include other demand sectors.
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Chris Hart,
Managing Director, MEO
Australia

MEO Australia - Focusing
on The Development of Gas-To-Liquids Projects
Chris Hart's first-hand expertise was on hand at SEAAOC 2007, gained
from MEO's extensive involvement in Darwin and the Northern
Territories gas developments. He was very upbeat about the region's
position as the "new centre for emerging upstream industry".
He was able to reveal MEO's future strategies, commencing with their
new upstream strategies including their GTL projects. The first 2
wells to test are:
- Epenarra: Darwin Fm. 5.6 Tcf of wet, low CO2 gas (LNG production)
- Heron North: Plover Fm. 5.5 Tcf of dry, moderate CO2 gas (methanol
production)
MEO predict that a positive outcomes will accelerate development of
GTL projects. Chris outlined their LNG plant substructure Ace
platform for LNG process equipment which offers Methanol
Substructure and storage in CGS substructure. This advanced system
features a radical design allowing for a much decreased above
surface height and flat platform working area.
Mr Hart then discussed MEO Australia assets approved GTL projects,
namely:
He also pointed out NT/P68: Primary gas source for projects with
untested gas discovery 11 Tcf GIP (Est.) in two horizons and
evidence for high gas liquids and low CO2 in one horizon (Darwin
Fm.)
With LNG & Methanol Project EIA Approvals, Chris stated how MEO's
Focus is confirming gas supply with the primary focus on Epenarra
(low Co2 Gas). Drilled in 1972 this gas is suitable for
LNG production and MEO has already conducted3D Acquired and
Inversion Studies identifying optimum Epenarra fracture zones with
up to 3 wells for 2007 appraisal drilling.
In summary Chris believes MEO Australia has significant scope for
strategic gas and
rapid commercialization path via approved GTL projects with first
farm-in partner secured.
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Peter Cleary,
President, North West Shelf
Australia LNG Pty Ltd

Atlantic LNG - Its
Influence on Asian Markets
Peter was the perfect speaker to fill the delegation in on the latest
developments in the Asian and Atlantic LNG markets and the influencing trend
of one on the other.
Peter firstly outlined the Asian future market trends including:
- Alpha Wave - Short term regional shortfalls 2007- 2010 due to
demand surges
- Beta Wave - Underlying growth dominated by China and India
- Structure - Long term contracts dominate:
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Security of supply
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Growing influence of
NOCs
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Lack of fluid regional
market
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Spot supply still only a
stop-gap, avg. 3% in 2006.
He then remarked on how
Atlantic LNG influences the Asia markets. He stated how the increasing
Atlantic LNG demand is outstripping local NG supply however the political
risk on cross-border pipelines is proving challenging to the region's
development. And whilst the emergence of integrated projects suggests some
short term supply the drivers for flexibility remain:
- Only 3% (growing) of the gas market
- Independent markets
- Developer preferences seeking arbitrage opportunities.
- Regulatory environment
- Dominance of Henry Hub
Mr Cleary then discussed the supply vs. demand outlook in the Atlantic and
the potential for Asia Linkage. This would probably mean the increased
development of Qatar (and Iran in the future) with its surplus capacity,
geographical ambivalence and value seeking nature. He also stated how the
Gorgon will sell to both markets on regional pricing models with global
companies having multi-market access at both ends of supply chain. Peter
also envisaged the continuance of Oil-based pricing in Asia vs. Natural Gas
in Atlantic maintaining arbitrage possibilities. However quality differences
remain a hurdle to liquid global trade.
In summary Mr Cleary predicted LNG increasingly flowing between the Atlantic
and Asian Markets with cycles of over and under-supply regionally bringing
arbitrage opportunities.
He believes Asia's preference is long term contracts with pricing linked to
alternate fuels but for the foreseeable future, "the Atlantic and Asian
markets will remain distinct, providing windows of opportunity to both
sellers and buyers."
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Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki,
Chairman & CEO, FACTS Global
Energy Group
Globalization of LNG Pricing
Concepts: Defining A Vision for the Future
Dr. Fesharaki was one of our most highly praised speakers at SEAAOC
2007, providing the delegates with an insightful and opinionated overview of
the current status of the market with a suitably lively subsequent panel
session.
He began by providing the delegation with an overview of the Asian LNG
market has gone over the last 20 years and identified 3 distinct phases:
- Legacy Contract Phase: (before 2000)
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Heavily linked to oil prices and
signed between Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, and key Asian and Middle East
suppliers
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No 'S'-curves, no floors and
ceilings
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Price range: $7.40-13/MMBtu
- Low Price Phase:(Post-2000)
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Post-2000 with very low prices,
lower oil linkages and more flexibility for buyers.
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Price range: $2.53/MMBtu (FOB) -
slightly >$3/MMBtu
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Low prices were thought to be a
new trend. Buyers' insistence on even lower prices and resistance to low
priced contracts a big mistake!
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Tight Energy Market Phase:(Post-2005)
Followed by the Switch to a
Seller's Market in 2006 where sellers have regained the upside and
renegotiated prices.
Dr. Fesharaki presented the development of Qatar as a major price setter in
the LNG market with some 48 mt directed to the West which can be diverted to
the highest paying market. As the country holds most of the LNG available
before 2012/2013, he discussed how it will continue to be a price setter,
imposing prices at or above crude oil parity.
However whilst the future of LNG looks strong, he did warn that current high
LNG prices are not sustainable, with term contract prices of $10-11/MMBtu
for 7-20 years being way too high.
Fereidun went on to state how he predicts the Eastern vs. Western Pricing
Strategy for LNG will see Asian prices offering more reliable and absolutely
higher prices than HH due to a number of factors including crude oil
performing stronger than HH and the imponderable supply situation of gas in
the US.
Dr. Fereidun Fesharaki finished with a prediction that most sellers will opt
for a mixed portfolio of sales to East and West with some LNG to be offered
15-20% lower for term buyers within the next few years.
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Brian Cann
Assistant Director, Gas
Industries, Department of the Chief Minister Northern Territory
Government

NT Government
Perspective on Downstream Gas Industry
Swimming Downstream, Against the Current
Brian returned to SEAAOC this year with a much anticipated review of the
Northern Territory Government's perspective on the downstream gas industry
and future outlook.
LNG expansion was the first of Brian's topics with the talk of continued
growth following the successful launch of the region's LNG plant last year
and further development of several world class gas fields in the Timor Sea.
He admitted however that downstream gas manufacturing industries have yet to
prove as successful. This is a result of a turn around in the global LNG
market over the past few years with prices up, long term contracts readily
available, the technology being mature and upstream companies keen to access
a profitable means of monetising their reserves.
Brian then analysed a number of recent reports of significance to the
region's LNG development including:
ACIL Tasman Report
Modeled the impact of an LNG only development with LNG plus a mix of gas
industry development.
Nexant Report
Analysed over twenty gas and condensate industries, selecting five
integrated multi-industry projects for in-depth analysis and budgeting.
Key points from the Nexant study were:
- That a mixed feedstock olefins cracker plus derivatives is the prime
investment opportunity.
- That incorporating an aromatics plant reduced profitability although
processing condensate on a larger scale might offset any impediment.
- That a methanol and ammonia/urea complex is attractive based on Nexant's
projected product and feedstock prices.
- That estimated cash costs of production at Darwin are competitive within
the Asia region.
Brian also discussed the GTL synthetic fuel investment opportunities in NT,
claiming that GTL could be a massive gas consumer when it does become an
attractive investment. "Just 350 000 barrels per day of liquid GTL fuel
production would consume all of 1 trillion cubic feet of natural gas per
year."
Brian wrapped up a comprehensive discussion by confirming the Northern
Territory Government's commitment to attracting investment in downstream gas
manufacturing industry and LNG projects. He mentioned how the NT Government
will be continuing work to lobby the Australian Government and industry
organisations to provide a more attractive investment environment for gas
manufacturing industries.
"The Territory will continue to invest in research and analysis to inform
our lobbying and investment attraction efforts. And we will continue to plan
and invest in land and infrastructure development to enhance the Territory
as a location for gas industry."
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Somchai
Sintharapantorn
Executive Vice President - Natural Gas Supply & Trading PTT Public
Company Limited, Thailand

Thailand's Dynamic
Gas Industry - Present and Future Trends
Mr Sintharapantorn kindly agreed to speak at SEAAOC 2007 and addressed
the delegation with comment on the increasing role of Natural Gas in
Thailand's energy consumption in the midst of high oil price environment. He
commenced by advocating strong support for natural gas claiming it to be the
energy choice for power generation. Somchai discussed how the last 10 years
has seen Thailand's oil consumption decreases while Natural Gas increased
significantly from 19% to 33% in a Decade. He then went on to forecast how
gas will continue to grow and become the largest energy source in Thailand
reaching 42% of total market share by 2015.
Mr Sintharapantorn explained Thailand's thirst for natural gas demand with
power sector accounting for 74% with other demand coming from petrochemical
feedstock and industry/transportation through combined cycle, NGV,
cogeneration, and district cooling technology
He believes that LNG is an attractive complement to domestic and regional
gas supplies in the long term and as such the Thai government has approved
an LNG terminal to be located on the Eastern Seaboard due to start operation
in 2011
He concluded by confirming his belief that natural gas has become the
world's 21st century fuel of choice in many markets including Thailand yet
stated the importance of searching for supply diversity with both LNG and
pipeline gas being an essential component in bridging the supply gap in the
longer term.
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Tetsu
Hashimoto
Executive Officer General Manager
Fuel Department Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)

Future Requirement
For LNG: Will It Grow Further?
With Japan accounting for 40% of the world's LNG trade in 2006
(including major imports from ConocoPhillips's Darwin LNG plant) it was
vital that the nation be represented at SEAAOC 2007. Tetsu Hashimoto was
able to provide us with a first hand summary of Japan's future fuel
strategy.
Mr Hashimoto outlined Japan's predicted growth of nuclear and natural gas
and concurrent decrease in oil and coal will decrease.
"This change will occur due to a combination of factors: the sustained
construction of nuclear power plants by the power industry, including TEPCO,
and a switch in energy use from oil to natural gas by industrial customers.
These cost sensitive customers choose their energy sources based to a large
extent on relative prices and to a lesser extent on their commitment to the
requirements of the Kyoto Protocol."
Tetsu stated how Japanese power companies had committed to build several new
nuclear power plants in the coming decade, which emit no global warming
gases. However despite the image of LNG as being the clean fuel choice of
the future he controversially pointed out that LNG liquefaction plants are
known to be the single largest emitters of such gases on the planet.
He also highlighted that "pricing of LNG compared to the price of oil in
particular is critical for the future growth of LNG demand in Japan. I argue
that the current import prices of LNG to Japan, which have a traditional
"S-curve" arrangement in the LNG pricing formulae, have historically been
more or less at the same level as European gas prices."
Mr Hashimoto mentioned that Japanese LNG buyers are searching for new
long-term LNG supplies in the Asian Pacific countries to supplement their
future demand, with Australia being a prime choice due to its proximity,
business friendly legal and taxation systems, and political stability.
He concluded by saying that:
"Future growth of LNG use in Japan may depend on the relative prices of LNG
compared to oil, coal, and power. As we see several current LNG supply
contracts expire in the next decade, the potential for new long-term LNG
supplies from the Asian Pacific countries to Japanese buyers will be
substantial."
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